The U.S.-China Tariff War: Endgame Projections and Strategic Impacts - From Game Balance to Global Economic Restructuring
By Derek Fei Derekfei66@gmail.com I. The Uniqueness of China-U.S. Relations in the Global Tariff Landscape Currently, the U.S. has basically established a tariff system for major global economies, with a 20%-40% tariff rate covering the European Union, Japan, South Korea, Latin America, ASEAN, and others. However, within this global tariff framework, China’s 34% tariff rate exhibits significant uniqueness: even if this rate remains unchanged, China’s exports to the U.S. still maintain an overwhelming advantage in comprehensive costs and delivery efficiency, thanks to its complete industrial chain (covering the entire process from core components to end-product assembly), efficient logistics network (with a daily turnover capacity of over 300 million parcels), and economies of scale (a single industrial cluster can concentrate over 30% of global production capacity). Other countries, even with the same tariff rates, struggle to shake the irreplaceability of China’s supply chain due to f...